Friday, 8 February 2019

The reasons of the 2008 Financial Crisis from the perspective behavioral finance and lesson learned


                     All praise is due to Allah, may peace, salutation and the blessing be upon the prophet Muhammad (), his entire family, his companions and those that follow their footsteps with righteous until the last day. Indeed, behavioral finance play vital role in finance and it tells us how people behave in finance. In general behavioral finance is the combination of both psychology and Economics. Moreover, how individual perceived in an economy varies due to their behavior for that reason, their financial behaviors are different. The all kinds of crisis occur because of the behaviors of the people in regard to the finance etc. however, financial crisis according to the research 2008 finance crisis is said to be most serious crisis ever happen in history of the great depression and it has been the talk of the world “as an eye-opener of the other finance institutions” to learn from very vital topic.

   Furthermore, there are so many reasons for 2008 financial crisis one of which are detrimental to the economy progress and development:
*      New Market Failure.
*      Financial frictions and lack of system insurance.
*      Securitizing of Loans.
*      Growing current account deficit and lower interest rate.
*      US Government pushes to housing and mortgage e.tc.
                     Firstly New Market Failure, increase a lot and suddenly in number and perhaps more deceives, well beyond the outer limits of the evident asymmetry paradigm, profoundly involving the newer and a smaller amount of familiar territory of the  collective cognition and collective action paradigm.
                     Secondly financial frictions and lack of systematic insurance, this led the amplification result of influence that were not accurately internalized by individual agents. As a result it lead to undervalue the social advantage of liquidity in crisis state and take over the socially undue level of systemic risk, primarily via leveraging up steeply and with excessive dependence on wholesale short-term subsidy (Brunner Meier 2008; Brunner Meier and Pedersen 2008;Korinek 2010).    
                     Thirdly Securitizing of Loans, is among the reason of 2008 financial crisis in which the mortgage lenders securitize their loans that permit them to eliminate all danger of affections or exposures; it is a requirement before you borrow mortgage, you must give your real assets as collateral to receive the loans. Moreover, if the borrower is unable to settle the loans the institution of mortgage banks will take the ownership of the real assets used by the borrower as collateral. As result the debt is always in progress everyday increasing goods and services at the increasing rate in their system.   
                     Fourthly growing current account deficits and Lowering of interest rates, this is the main reason for 2008 financial crisis it has been designed in such way that default cannot be avoided because the way they designed their system; this also cause the lack of physical cash in their system which lead to the people facing a lot of difficulty. Moreover, people became the slave of financial institution because of the adverse effect of increasing of debt. As a result lowering the interest rate leads to financial crisis which in other way tantamount to an increment of demand for money and amount of debt in circulation is at increase rate for the price of goods and services at a high rate. Furthermore, people were not unable to pay for every bit of their payment of debt they should pay.
                    Fifthly the US Government Pushes to Housing and Mortgages, US government is among reason for the 2008 financial crisis due to their policies changes by the and move to the mortgage& residential housing. In regards to residential housing US government request the prices to increase for the reason that people desire for the mortgage increase, as a result quit low quality mortgage was supply for them at the market. Moreover, amount of money in the circulation of their economy increase people, for that being the case, people used anything in their possession just to have their own home and for the mortgage lenders at large.

                    The lessons we learn from the 2008 global financial crisis are as follows:
                      Firstly central bank need to do something to control the liquidity bubbles and assets bubbles. It adversely affect a particular society if they permit to build, comprising recessions with property losses, attendant job losses and long term losses without growth  or slow growth . Besides it’s very difficult when the economy stimulus pressures are intense for supervisor to do job this automatically lead to the financial crisis.
                     Secondly Assets Allocation analysis, the perception that people in regarding risk is that they always want to allocate their resource or assets to that of free risk; which is difficult to see “knowing Allah (S.W.T) is in control. Besides people should know, they need to put their resource in order to make the system stable with management of this resource without exploitation because it will lead to financial crisis. The state government must intercede in case of exploitation of these resources, people pursue their own self-interest in regards to their behavior in the direction of finance; private business pursue their own future betterment, without considering the nation.
                   Thirdly diversifying long term investment, what people don’t perceived in diversifying their  investment, as wanting the instance return or benefit from their investment which in most event lead to financial crisis. Besides the people have to invest their capital in many businesses and make a long term investment in real assets its help the capital growth and diversifying portfolios can also diminish financial crisis. With the reason that without diversifying the business; when loss occur, the only option for you will be taking of loans. Taking loans the debt will be continue at an increasing rate and at end you will not be able to settle all of debt rather be debt slave.  
                 Fourthly have lending partner not a lending facility, introduction of commercial credit system to the societies can diminish financial crisis. Commercial credit start with lending each other within ourselves instead of using bank lending facility. Mutual credit or commercial crisis will not occur but financial crisis occur because of mortgage and banks loans which is detrimental to us, control us and make us slave because of debt. Furthermore lending within ourselves not involve any of these, rather can conveniently use automatic set-off if there is scarcity of physical cash , will diminish financial crisis.
                  In conclusion, as we learn that psychology play vital role in area of behavioral finance and as which the people perceived it differently in regards to the economy; as we pursue our self-interest and investment behaviors were in must case run us down  is one of the reason lead us to the financial crisis. Furthermore I will encourage people to used commercial credit which did not have any negative effect, less avoid taking of loans from the bank.
                                    Jazakallahu khair WA Salam


Bibliography

Ludwig, E. A. (2008). Lessons Learned from the. The William Taylor Memorial Lecture Series, 13-14.
Rimkus, R. (2006, August 17). The Financial Crisis of 2008. Retrieved from The economic Crisises.Org: http://www.economicrises.org/2016/17/the financial crisis-of-2008
Wlliam.c., D. (2017, November 06). Lessons from Financial Crisis. Retrieved from Newyorkfed.org/ newsevents/speeches: https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2017/dudd171106











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